Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.061290 1.201149 1.353574 1.532198 1.736005 1.961554 2.230435
2026-02-01 0.819421 1.003441 1.221242 1.498766 1.844051 2.260870 2.804284
2026-02-08 0.682177 0.881416 1.130907 1.467701 1.912704 2.483625 3.276562
2026-02-15 0.602400 0.813058 1.089266 1.480225 2.023110 2.755757 3.828648
2026-02-22 0.535505 0.750184 1.042955 1.474597 2.100266 2.982560 4.335782
2026-03-01 0.477966 0.691884 0.993919 1.455603 2.150888 3.170643 4.801138
2026-03-08 0.421559 0.628234 0.929183 1.404285 2.144706 3.269735 5.137498
2026-03-15 0.385762 0.590790 0.898129 1.398315 2.203534 3.468842 5.646326
2026-03-22 0.371145 0.583687 0.911418 1.460905 2.374094 3.857335 6.502150
2026-03-29 0.343610 0.553382 0.885145 1.456502 2.433733 4.069316 7.081599
2026-04-05 0.324465 0.534628 0.875224 1.477178 2.535825 4.360090 7.827547
2026-04-12 0.300829 0.506206 0.846611 1.462788 2.574771 4.543542 8.397369
2026-04-19 0.274389 0.472930 0.810579 1.438771 2.606613 4.739958 9.060767
2026-04-26 0.248904 0.439357 0.771645 1.407037 2.623931 4.917840 9.726478
2026-05-03 0.226999 0.409822 0.736621 1.377992 2.641643 5.096321 10.414712
2026-05-10 0.213258 0.393718 0.724153 1.389706 2.738689 5.439270 11.488290
2026-05-17 0.198744 0.374697 0.704247 1.384442 2.800515 5.717526 12.461386
2026-05-24 0.184214 0.354232 0.679534 1.366675 2.834026 5.939946 13.340950
2026-05-31 0.167744 0.328456 0.642036 1.318671 2.797869 6.008615 13.877254
2026-06-07 0.157415 0.313989 0.625678 1.313087 2.852520 6.281822 14.933835
2026-06-14 0.154362 0.314015 0.638691 1.371635 3.055967 6.913990 16.957141
2026-06-21 0.145544 0.301252 0.623922 1.367517 3.115893 7.220999 18.210055
2026-06-28 0.139519 0.293863 0.619833 1.386855 3.232623 7.676767 19.916929